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Walt Disney puts its top-tier media dominance to the test when it reports results before the bell Tuesday. Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall upped his price target to $141 a share, suggesting upside of 24%. StreetAccount estimates call for 229.35 million subscribers across the business unit and nearly 155 million Disney+ subscribers. At its last earnings call in February, Disney said it expects between 5.5 million to 6 million added subscribers in the second quarter. He forecasts an additional 4 million subscribers each year.
Persons: Walt Disney, Nelson Peltz, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, David Karnovsky, Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall, Deutsche Bank's Bryan Kraft, Disney, Vijay Jayant, America's Ehrlich Organizations: Trian Partners, LSEG, Walt Disney, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Disney, Deutsche, DTC, Netflix, Bank Locations: F1Q
Wall Street analysts were positive on Netflix after its latest subscriber additions and largely dismissed concerns of that the monetization of paid sharing is too slow. The company added 5.9 million subscribers in the quarter in a sign that its password sharing crackdown and advertising tier is generating new subscribers. "2Q review: Password sharing supercharges subs Netflix (NFLX) reported healthy 2Q results, which reflected strong net adds of 5.9mn (vs. guidance of ~1.75mn and our 2.95mn est. ), indicating the initial rollout of password sharing has been very positive," the analyst wrote on Thursday. Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall said investors are "over-exuberant on paid sharing," though he reiterated an overweight rating on the stock.
Persons: Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, America's Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall, Needham's Laura Martin, NFLX, OTT, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Alex Sherman Organizations: Netflix, " Bank, America's, DIS Locations: Wednesday's
But that plan carries serious risk, as it would jeopardize still-sizable cable revenue without guaranteeing that enough sports fans would support such a product. Several other analysts — including Barton Crockett of Rosenblatt Securities, who has a buy rating for Disney shares — seconded those concerns about cannibalizing cable revenue. Nollen estimated 35 million current cable customers would switch to ESPN DTC. ESPN DTC is zero incremental cost and potentially billions in incremental revenue." An ESPN streamer (in light purple) would gradually drive revenue for Disney, Wells Fargo predicts.
Persons: Disney, that's, Jalen Rose, Todd McShay, Bob Iger, Macquarie's Tim Nollen, Nollen, Barton Crockett, , Crockett, who'd, Will, you've, they'll, William Cohan, Cohan, Joe Bonner, Bonner, Brandon Nispel, Iger, Nispel, We've, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, Hulu —, Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall, Cahall, Wells Organizations: ESPN, Disney, Bank of America, NBA, Sports, ESPN Disney's ESPN, Rosenblatt Securities, ESPN DTC, Will Disney, Citigroup, NFL, NBC, Apple, Comcast, NBC Sports, Netflix Netflix, Hearst, Argus Research, Netflix, KeyBanc, Hulu, DIS, Wells Fargo Sports Locations: Wells Fargo, it's, Wells, Hulu, Puck
Disney CEO Bob Iger must decide whether to acquire all of Hulu and fold it into Disney+. By buying all of Hulu, Disney could integrate its content into Disney+, which would make the flagship Disney streamer a formidable challenger to Netflix. "You look at the Disney+ bundle with Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, and it's a pretty powerful combination," Nispel told Insider. Currently, the ad versions of Hulu and Disney+ each cost $8 per month while ad-free Hulu and Disney+ cost $15 and $11, respectively. The consensus among analysts about Disney's Hulu dilemma was neatly summarized by Barton Crockett of Rosenblatt Securities, whose price target implies 26% upside for Disney.
Persons: Bob Iger, Iger, that's, Joe Bonner, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Disney's, Wells, Steven Cahall, Cahall, Hulu, Michael Morris, He's, Morris, Disney, Will Iger, Barton Crockett, Crockett Organizations: Disney, Hulu, Comcast, Netflix, Wall, Argus Research, KeyBanc, ESPN, TAM, Rosenblatt Securities Locations: Hulu
This comes after Netflix said at its Upfront presentation last month that the company's ad-supported tier and password sharing crackdown are gaining traction. The analyst forecasts total paid sharing revenue of $2.4 billion in 2024 and $3.5 billion in 2025. We now model GAAP EPS of $15.40 in 2024 & $18.89 in 2025, along [with free cash flow] of $6.0B in 2024 & $8.6B in 2025," Anmuth wrote. Netflix shares are trending higher this quarter, up more than 15%, while the S & P 500 climbed 4%. JPMorgan was not the only Wall Street firm to hike its price target on Netflix.
Persons: Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Netflix, JPMorgan Locations: Tuesday's
The cost-saving initiatives unveiled by Disney on Wednesday give analysts another reason to remain bullish on the media giant. The commentary from analysts comes after the company on Wednesday revealed plans to cut 7,000 jobs and slash $5.5 billion in costs . "Bob Iger laid out a plan for cost cuts, content and streaming rationalization and ultimately improved profitability," said Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall in a Wednesday note to clients. "An execution story is a cleaner catalyst path, and the shares should track higher on confidence + estimates." "Bob Iger has a long, strong track record which provides confidence he will manage this transition for DIS," she said.
Netflix 's strong fourth-quarter subscriber growth and solid content slate may signal the start of better times for the streaming stock, but it may be too early to buy up shares, according to some Wall Street analysts. Netflix reported 7.66 million adds, compared to 4.57 million subscribers expected by StreetAccount estimates. Analysts view the company's new advertising tier and its content slate as key to Netflix's financial performance in the months ahead. Since reporting second-quarter earnings results, Netflix shares have risen more than 46%. On the leadership front, Supino and analysts view the CEO transition as a positive for the company.
Wall Street analysts broadly approved of Bob Iger's return to Disney . MoffettNathanson's Michael Nathanson upgraded Disney to outperform from market perform, and raised his price target, on the news of Iger's return. His $120 price target represents roughly 30.7% upside from Friday's closing price of $91.80. Iger's return comes less than a year after Bob Chapek took the reins as chief executive. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall said Iger's return is a "positive surprise," as it is viewed by investors as a catalyst for the stock.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailParamount investors seem 'squeamish' about cash burn, says Wells Fargo's Steven CahallSteven Cahall, Wells Fargo, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the market's response to Paramount's earnings, how long it will take for streaming companies to turn a profit and how Cahall sees Netflix's ad-supported tier playing out.
Netflix 's subscriber turnaround in the third quarter signaled to many that the streaming giant's troubles are behind it. But some analysts warn the company isn't out of the woods just yet and the stock is entering a defining period. The streaming giant on Tuesday reported subscriber growth of roughly 2.4 million, topping expectations set by analysts, after back-to-back quarters of subscriber losses. That said, Morgan Stanley's Benjamin Swinburne wrote in a note to clients that the stock is overstating Netflix's outlook ahead. But without a boost in the pace of streaming growth, he sees difficulty for Netflix to surpass 10% growth in the foreseeable future.
As Disney prepares to report earnings Wednesday, major analysts fear further disappointment is in store for investors as streaming subscriber estimates remain too high and need to come down. The entertainment giant has said it plans for its Disney+ streaming service to have between 230 million and 260 million subscribers by the end of 2024. Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall agrees that Disney needs to trim back its streaming goals. Although the bank remains bullish on the company and the continued progression of its Disney+ business, it cut 2024 streaming estimates to 213 million from 240 million. To be sure, there are some potential bright spots that could keep Disney on track to reach its target.
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